Technical Analysis – GBPUSD pauses quick rebound near 1.3200
GBPUSD faces mild losses near 1.3200; short-term bias remains positive
UK CPI data due on Wednesday; FOMC & BoE rate decisions next in focus
GBPUSD traded muted around the 1.3200 level and the short-term descending trendline from August’s peak on Tuesday as investors eagerly waited for the UK CPI data and the FOMC policy announcement on Wednesday, as well as the BoE rate decision on Thursday.
The pair enjoyed a swift upturn off the 1.3000 region, keeping the medium-term uptrend intact. While the positive trajectory in the technical indicators is promising, the bulls will have to successfully pierce through the 1.3200 border to access August’s top of 1.3265. A continuation higher could take a breather around the resistance trendline at 1.3340. Then, the door could open for the 1.3400 psychological mark last seen in the first quarter of 2022.
Should the bears retake control, the price could slide towards the 1.3100 mark. Failure to pivot there might see another test within the 13000-1.3040 zone composed by the 23.6% Fibonacci of the April-August upleg and the 50-day simple moving average (SMA). If this floor cracks as well, then the sell-off might intensify towards the 38.2% Fibonacci of 1.2890 and the support trendline from the 2022 low seen around 1.2835.
In brief, GBPUSD is trading near a constraining zone with a potential for a bullish breakout above 1.3200. Otherwise, the pair might drift lower to seek support around 1.3100.
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