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BNP Paribas cuts Swatch to 'underperform' on lack of positive catalysts ahead of H2 results



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** Exane BNP Paribas lowers its rating on the world's biggest watchmaker Swatch Group UHR.S to "underperform" from "neutral", citing negative newsflow in sector, high FX exposure and less luxury brand portfolio

** The broker notes H1 result was among the worst in the sector

** Based on incremental negative newsflow in July-August, particularly in China, the broker cuts its estimates by about 20% in 2024-26

** Swatch has large exposure to Swiss francs, which in broker's view, should continue to affect top-line growth in H2 and FY 2025

** The brokerage says the company "does not own any of the most desirable watch brands", making the Swiss group vulnerable in a downturn

** Out of 23 analysts that cover Swatch Group, two rate the stock "strong buy"/"buy,"​ 17 rate it "hold" and four​ rate the stock "strong sell"/"sell" - LSEG data





Reporting by Amir Orusov

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