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FX shrugs off larger than usual Fed rate cut



<html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><head><title>CEE MARKETS-FX shrugs off larger than usual Fed rate cut</title></head><body>

By Alan Charlish

WARSAW, Sept 19 (Reuters) -Central European currencies were little changed on Thursday, remaining in their recent ranges after the U.S. Federal Reserve's decision to start its easing cycle with a larger than usual interest rate cut.

The Fed lowered its window for the benchmark policy rate by 50 basis points to 4.75%-5%, as expected by many traders.

"The most important storyline for CEE is definitely yesterday's jumbo-sized rate cut from the Fed," said Peter Virovacz, senior economist at ING in Hungary.

"Altogether it seems markets don't necessarily believe the Fed dot plot, which suggests only 50 basis points of easing in total for the remainder of the year, the market is pricing in rather 70ish basis points, as a result the dollar is weakening a bit... and it gives CEE a kind of stability."

The Hungarian forint EURHUF= was 0.05% weaker against the euro at 394.65. The Czech crown EURCZK= was 0.10% softer at 25.081 and the Polish zloty EURPLN= shed 0.09% to trade at 4.2655.

A Warsaw-based trader said he would have expected the big rate cut to help CEE currencies but this had not been the case.

"I guess this decision was pretty much in the market already, it was discounted," the trader said.

In central Europe, attention is now turning to an interest rate decision in Hungary scheduled for Tuesday.

"Maybe the forint is going to be a bit weaker, the market might be expecting some more dovish rhetoric from the central bank after this jumbo-sized Fed rate cut as the central bank of Hungary mentioned on several occasions that they are focussing on major central banks decisions," said Virovacz.



CEE MARKETS

SNAPSHOT

AT 1108 CET






CURRENCIES







Latest

Previous

Daily

Change




trade

close

change

in 2024

EURCZK=

Czech crown

EURCZK=

25.0810

25.0560

-0.10%

-1.51%

EURHUF=

Hungary forint

EURHUF=

394.6500

394.4500

-0.05%

-2.91%

EURPLN=

Polish zloty

EURPLN=

4.2655

4.2695

+0.09%

+1.85%

EURRON=

Romanian leu

EURRON=

4.9750

4.9750

+0.00%

-0.01%

EURRSD=

Serbian dinar

EURRSD=

117.0000

117.0600

+0.05%

+0.21%


Note: daily change

calculated from



1800 CET












Latest

Previous

Daily

Change





close

change

in 2024

.PX

Prague

.PX

1575.53

1567.8700

+0.49%

+11.42%

.BUX

Budapest

.BUX

72673.05

72768.53

-0.13%

+19.88%

.WIG20

Warsaw

.WIG20

2330.70

2326.69

+0.17%

-0.52%

.BETI

Bucharest

.BETI

17569.72

17479.72

+0.51%

+14.30%













Spread

Daily






vs Bund

change in


Czech Republic





spread

CZ2YT=RR

2-year

CZ2YT=RR

3.2360

-0.0150

+098bps

+0bps

CZ5YT=RR

5-year

CZ5YT=RR

3.4240

0.0420

+135bps

+4bps

CZ10YT=RR

10-year

CZ10YT=RR

3.7100

0.0090

+151bps

+0bps


Poland






PL2YT=RR

2-year

PL2YT=RR

4.6260

-0.0460

+237bps

-4bps

PL5YT=RR

5-year

PL5YT=RR

4.9600

-0.0670

+289bps

-7bps

PL10YT=RR

10-year

PL10YT=RR

5.2900

-0.0540

+309bps

-7bps










FORWARD RATE AGREEMENTS







3x6

6x9

9x12

3M interbank


Czech Rep

CZKFRAPRIBOR=

3.81

3.41

3.10

4.31


Hungary

HUFFRABUBOR=

6.51

6.09

5.64

6.45


Poland

PLNFRAWIBOR=

5.73

5.28

4.64

5.86


Note: FRA quotes

are for ask prices





**************************************************************






Reporting by Alan Charlish
Editing by Mark Potter

For related news and prices, click on the codes in brackets:
All emerging market news EMRG CEEU CEE/

Spot FX rates
Eastern Europe spot FX EEFX= Middle East spot FX MEFX=
Asia spot FX ASIAFX= Latin America spot FX LATAMFX=

Other news and reports
World central bank news CEN Economic Data Guide ECONGUIDE
Official rates GLOBAL/INT Emerging Diary EMRG/DIARY
Top events M/DIARY Diaries DIARY Diaries Index IND/DIARY
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