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Polish bond yields rise for second day after 2025 budget plans, FX firmer



<html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><head><title>CEE MARKETS-Polish bond yields rise for second day after 2025 budget plans, FX firmer</title></head><body>

PRAGUE, Aug 29 (Reuters) -Polish bond yields climbed for a second straight session on Thursday, hitting a one-month high, after the country unveiled a 2025 budget plan with a rising deficit, while central Europe's currencies mostly moved to firmer levels after recent weakness.

Poland's government expects its general budget deficit to rise to 5.5% of gross domestic product in 2025, up from 5.1% seen this year, as it ramps up defence spending and drops some practices of the former administration that critics said kept costs off the books.

The rising deficit poses a challenge for eastern Europe's biggest economy which is already facing European Union budget discipline measures.

The 10-year benchmark bond yield PL10YT=RR climbed around 5 basis points andwas bid at 5.567% at 0926 GMT, up 16 bps since Wednesday's open before the budget announcement.

"The bottom line is that the fiscal policy in Poland in 2024-2025 is going to be more expansive than earlier suggested," Santander Bank Polska said in a note.

The zloty EURPLN= also firmed against the euro, up 0.1% at 4.2915, with the growth outlook - which was raised in the budget assumptions - providing some support.

In Hungary, the forint EURHUF= rose 0.2% to 392.65 to the euro.

Hungarian bond yields are also likely to face upward pressure after the head of the government debt agency said it would focus more on borrowing from domestic bonds and sources to keep foreign currency debt levels within limits.

On stock markets, some shares shed morning gains.

Czech utility CEZ CEZP.PR hit a near four-month low and was set to log lossesfor a third straight session after the country's finance ministry scrapped the idea of ending a windfall tax next year.



CEE MARKETS

SNAPSHOT

AT 1126 CET





CURRENCIES






Latest

Previous

Daily

Change



trade

close

change

in 2024

Czech crown

EURCZK=

25.0600

25.0410

-0.08%

-1.43%

Hungary forint

EURHUF=

392.6500

393.5500

+0.23%

-2.41%

Polish zloty

EURPLN=

4.2915

4.2945

+0.07%

+1.23%

Romanian leu

EURRON=

4.9773

4.9775

+0.00%

-0.06%

Serbian dinar

EURRSD=

116.9200

117.0300

+0.09%

+0.28%

Note: daily change

calculated from


1800 CET










Latest

Previous

Daily

Change




close

change

in 2024

Prague

.PX

1578.45

1573.6500

+0.31%

+11.63%

Budapest

.BUX

73074.50

72838.51

+0.32%

+20.55%

Warsaw

.WIG20

2386.79

2383.94

+0.12%

+1.87%

Bucharest

.BETI

18277.07

18270.37

+0.04%

+18.91%











Spread

Daily





vs Bund

change in

Czech Republic





spread

2-year

CZ2YT=RR

3.3770

0.0000

+103bps

+3bps

5-year

CZ5YT=RR

3.5810

0.0280

+145bps

+5bps

10-year

CZ10YT=RR

3.8230

0.0090

+158bps

+2bps

Poland






2-year

PL2YT=RR

4.9480

0.0390

+260bps

+7bps

5-year

PL5YT=RR

5.2560

0.0110

+312bps

+3bps

10-year

PL10YT=RR

5.5670

0.0470

+333bps

+6bps








FORWARD RATE AGREEMENTS






3x6

6x9

9x12

3M interbank

Czech Rep

CZKFRAPRIBOR=

3.92

3.60

3.34

4.37

Hungary

HUFFRABUBOR=

6.20

5.81

5.41

6.52

Poland

PLNFRAWIBOR=

5.75

5.45

5.02

5.85

Note: FRA quotes

are for ask prices




**************************************************************











Reporting by Jason Hovet in Prague, Karol Badohal in Warsaw and Boldizsar Gyori in Budapest; Editing by Eileen Soreng

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