Piper Sandler cuts PT on US refiners
** Brokerage Piper Sandler cuts price targets on several U.S. refiners due to incremental refined product capacity and weaker-than-expected demand in 2025
** Brokerage lowers its FY25 refining margin outlook, now expects NYH 3-2-1 crack spread of $15.80/bbl
** Piper Sandler also cuts 3Q24 and FY24 EPS estimates by 232% and 57%, respectively, and FY25 estimates by 52%; adds that it expects significant negative revisions into third-quarter results
** Piper Sandler says the supply-demand balance has deteriorated into 2025, driven by a combination of lower demand estimates and higher supply; expects supply-demand balance to be roughly flat in 2025 compared to 2024
** "We anticipate ~1.5 million barrels per day of gross capacity additions in 2025...continued weakness in both OECD (Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development) and Chinese distillate demand suggests downside risk to our estimates"
** Here are the PT cuts made by the brokerage
Company | New PT | Old PT | Rating |
HF Sinclair DINO.N | $49 | $58 | Overweight |
Delek US Holdings DK.N | $19 | $25 | Neutral |
PBF Energy PBF.N | $25 | $47 | Underweight |
Phillips 66 PSX.N | $136 | $151 | Overweight |
Valero Energy VLO.N | $123 | $169 | Neutral |
Marathon Petroleum MPC.N | $145 | $168 | Neutral |
Reporting by Vallari Srivastava in Bengaluru
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