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市场新闻

Reuters - 2天前

Dollar catches footing ahead of Fed

FOREX-Dollar catches footing ahead of Fed By Tom Westbrook SINGAPORE, Sept 18 (Reuters) - The dollar steadied on Wednesday as stronger-than-expected U.S. retail sales had traders slightly trimming bets that the U.S. easing cycle will begin with an outsized interest rate cut. The Federal Reserve is expected to make its first interest rate cut in more than four years at 1800 GMT, which will be followed by a news conference half an hour later.
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Reuters - 1周前

FX options wrap - FX risks fade amid central bank cuts

BUZZ-FX options wrap - FX risks fade amid central bank cuts G10 FX option implied volatility has fallen quite sharply since the U.S. NFP and CPI data removed much of the uncertainty about the U.S. rate path, which in turn, has aided a broader risk recovery. Benchmark 1-month expiry implied volatility consequently trades new post data lows . However, o ne-week expiry options now include the U.S.
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Reuters - 1周前

FX options wrap - ECB, EUR direction, 13 billion, JPY 140, value

BUZZ-FX options wrap - ECB, EUR direction, 13 billion, JPY 140, value Initially tame U.S. CPI FX volatility risk premium was marginally higher before Wednesday's slightly softer than expected data, which makes a 25bpts U.S. rate cut more likely than 50bps next week. The pre data premium rise in USD/JPY came after more JPY strength took the pair closer to 140.00 in Asia , with other dates higher, too.
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Reuters - 1周前

FX options wrap - Looming event risks and FX expectations

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Looming event risks and FX expectations Sept 10 (Reuters) - Implied volatility has been on the back foot as FX volatility risk premiums were priced out in the wake of Friday's mixed U.S. jobs data, which left FX in familiar ranges. However, Wednesday's U.S. CPI data and a host of major G10 central bank policy announcements are limiting potentially deeper declines .
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Reuters - 2周前

FX options wrap - FX outlook shifts after U.S. jobs

BUZZ-FX options wrap - FX outlook shifts after U.S. jobs There has been a mild shift in sentiment since Friday's mixed U.S. jobs data lowered the probability of a 50bps U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut on Sept 18. Demand and premium for FX options to protect against near-term FX volatility and USD weakness was strong ahead of Friday's mixed U.S. jobs data, but it has been quick to revert lower since, despite the impending U.S.
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Reuters - 2周前

FX options wrap - USD puts and major event risks drive market

BUZZ-FX options wrap - USD puts and major event risks drive market The USD has been under renewed pressure since Wednesday's U.S. jolts data and the market is on high alert for Friday's U.S. jobs data and its potential to sway the U.S. Fed into a 50bps cut on Sept. 18. Overnight expiry now encompasses Friday's jobs report, and the sharp rise in related implied volatility highlights the largest realised volatility risk premium for any jobs data release this year .
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Reuters - 2周前

FX options wrap - JPY surge, NFP risk, long gamma, CHF puts

BUZZ-FX options wrap - JPY surge, NFP risk, long gamma, CHF puts Risk aversion and JPY gains are driving JPY related implied volatility and its JPY call over put skew higher. USD/JPY 1-month expiry implied volatility from 11.9 to 12.9 this week and 1-month 25 delta risk reversals regaining 2.0 from 1.6 vol premium for downside strikes. JPY call buying has dominated flows, with 140.00 being a popular strike .
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Reuters - 2周前

Dollar rises as traders eye data-heavy week; yen strengthens

FOREX-Dollar rises as traders eye data-heavy week; yen strengthens Updates to U.S. afternoon By Saqib Iqbal Ahmed and Amanda Cooper NEW YORK, Sept 3 (Reuters) - The dollar rose to a two-week high against the euro on Tuesday as traders braced for a data-heavy week, including Friday's U.S. payrolls report that could shape the path of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve.
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Reuters - 2周前

Dollar firms as traders eye data-heavy week; yen rallies

RPT-FOREX-Dollar firms as traders eye data-heavy week; yen rallies Repeats removing word in first para Updates to U.S. morning By Saqib Iqbal Ahmed and Amanda Cooper NEW YORK, Sept 3 (Reuters) - The dollar hovered near a two-week high against the euro on Tuesday as traders braced for a data-heavy week, including Friday's U.S. payrolls report that could shape the path of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve.
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Reuters - 2周前

FX options wrap - USD puts, NFP risk, JPY 140, huge euro

BUZZ-FX options wrap - USD puts, NFP risk, JPY 140, huge euro Sept 3 (Reuters) - Broader FX option implied volatility setbacks remain limited ahead of Friday's U.S. jobs data and the strong risk premium for Friday expiries shows a market prepared for FX realised volatility to increase . Shorter dated expiry USD puts have been more sought and demand more premium than USD calls against many currencies.
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Reuters - 3周前

FX options wrap - Big expiries, NFP storm, directional flip

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Big expiries, NFP storm, directional flip Huge FX option strike expiries and their related cash hedging flows can have more of an impact on FX price action this week, as many traders are side-lined before the U.S. jobs data. Broader implied volatility appears heavy, which reinforces that scenario, although setbacks will remain minimal for options that include the jobs data.
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Reuters - 3周前

FX options wrap - FX eruption, EUR topside, short gamma, CNH alert

BUZZ-FX options wrap - FX eruption, EUR topside, short gamma, CNH alert Mild USD recovery/consolidation takes front-end expiry FX option implied volatility off its most recent highs. However, setbacks are proving limited amid the strong demand and high premiums attached to post NFP options - reflecting the importance of this event to the scale of the September 18 U.S.
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Reuters - 3周前

FX options wrap - Signs of fatigue before next major events

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Signs of fatigue before next major events Aug 28 (Reuters) - FX option implied volatility increased beside USD put premiums as the USD fell more broadly in mid-late August, but renewed supply now recognises the many stretched G10 FX positions and current spot consolidation. There's little to excite markets before next week's U.S.
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Reuters - 4周前

FX options wrap - Positioning for a weaker USD

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Positioning for a weaker USD FX options have been positioning for a weaker USD as expectations of Fed easing gathered pace and some currency pairs appear more fearful than others about an extended USD decline. A UK holiday dampened incentive and trade flows on Monday, but there has been demand and increased volatility premium for options including impending NFP data after Fed chair Powell's comments on Friday .
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Reuters - 4周前

Stand-out FX option strike expiries this week

BUZZ-COMMENT-Stand-out FX option strike expiries this week Aug 26 (Reuters) - The cash hedging of soon-to-expire FX option strikes can have a magnetic effect on FX price action, adding to nearby support/resistance. There are some large strikes on Monday and plenty more for the week ahead. The biggest EUR/USD strikes expiring this week are on Tuesday at 1.1100-10 on 1.8 billion euros and 1.1150 on 1.3 billion euros.
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Reuters - 1个月前

FX options wrap - FX volatility risk gone but not forgotten

BUZZ-FX options wrap - FX volatility risk gone but not forgotten The substantial increase in implied volatility triggered by the risk aversion following the July NFP data has largely been reversed. However, FX volatility risk premiums are beginning to attract demand as the majority approach their longer term lows from June. Markets have re-embraced the U.S.
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Reuters - 1个月前

Stand-out FX option strike expiries for the week ahead

BUZZ-COMMENT-Stand-out FX option strike expiries for the week ahead Aug 16 (Reuters) - The cash hedging of soon-to-expire FX option strikes can have a magnetic effect on FX price action, adding to nearby support/resistance. There are some huge strikes on Friday and plenty more for the week ahead. Standout EUR/USD strikes are on Monday at 1.1000-10 on 1.2 billion euros.
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Reuters - 1个月前

Australian dollar sets for strong weekly gain, kiwi lags

Australian dollar sets for strong weekly gain, kiwi lags SYDNEY, Aug 16 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar was set for a strong weekly gain on Friday, buoyed by hawkish expectations for domestic interest rates, while the kiwi ended the week barely up as markets wagered on a string of rate cuts over the coming months. The Aussie AUD=D3 climbed another 0.2% to $0.6624, nearing a three-week top of $0.6643. It bounced 0.2% overnight to crack resistance at a major chart level of 66 cents.
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Reuters - 1个月前

FX options wrap - FX volatility risk measures take a hit

BUZZ-FX options wrap - FX volatility risk measures take a hit Aug 15 (Reuters) - FX option implied volatility spiked to new long term highs on Aug. 5, as risk was hit and carry trades unwound on the back of U.S. recession fears. However, shorter dated and front end expiry implied volatility has fully reverted as those fears are put to rest, for now .
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Reuters - 1个月前

FX options wrap - Risk premium, USD direction, EUR/USD targets

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Risk premium, USD direction, EUR/USD targets Overnight expiry FX option implied volatility in the higher beta USD pairings was trading its biggest pre-U.S. CPI premium this year. However, Wednesday's data was basically in line with expectations and didn't prompt the excessive volatility for which options were primed. Broader FX option implied volatility has eased as the CPI risk premium was priced out and as always, is more evident in sub-one-month expiry contracts.
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