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GOLD

XM市场研究

XM市场研究 - 14小时前

Midweek Technical Look - Gold, US 500, GBPJPY

Gold touches 2,600 after Fed decision US 500 records another all-time high; strong bullish bias today GBPJPY posts several days of gains; bearish cross within SMAs
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XM市场研究 - 15小时前

Daily Comment – Fed goes big with first rate cut; BoE takes the torch

Fed lowers interest rates by 50bps New dot plot signals another 50bps cuts by December Wall Street closes in the red, futures point to higher open BoE and BoJ take the central bank torch It has begun! The Fed decided to kickstart this easing cycle with a bold 50bps rate cut, and to flag more reductions before the turn of the year. The new dot plot pointed to another 50bps worth of reductions by the end of 2024, which translates into two quarter-point cuts at each of the remain
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XM市场研究 - 2天前

Daily Comment – Let the Fed rate cuts begin

Dollar trades indecisively ahead of important Fed decision Investors assign a strong 60% chance for a 50bps cut Wall Street and gold traders also on the edge of their seats Pound rebounds on sticky UK inflation Fed to press the rate cut button The dollar rebounded against most of its major peers on Tuesday but resumed its slide early today as traders appear reluctant to assume a clear direction ahead of the very important Fed decision later today, when the Committee is expecte
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XM市场研究 - 2天前Bullish

Gold stands beneath 20-period SMA MACD and RSI lose positive momentum Gold prices have declined from the all-time high of 2,589.66 over the last couple of days, meeting the 2,560 support level and being capped by the 20-period simple moving average (SMA). According to technical oscillators, the MACD is diving beneath its trigger line in the positive territory, while the RSI is falling near the neutral threshold of 50. If there is a drop below the 2,560 support level, then the market
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XM市场研究 - 2天前

How will the US elections impact the markets?

Harris takes the lead in most polls as Trump’s campaign stalls But what does a Harris win mean for stocks and the US dollar? Can Trump turn things around and what would investors prefer? Late entry The US presidential election is drawing ever closer and there can be no doubt that the race heated up after President Joe Biden abruptly dropped out.
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XM市场研究 - 3天前

Volatility eases a bit ahead of the key Fed meeting – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility remains low as dollar weakness lingers Volatility in commodities stays elevated led by silver Stock indices and bitcoin experience lower volatility Euro/dollar volatility remains low as the market is preparing for the key Fed meeting on Wednesday that could deliver a previously unexpected 50bps rate cut. Amidst these conditions, yen pairs are experiencing the highest volatility of the past month as the yen continues to outperform its main counterparties on
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XM市场研究 - 3天前

Daily Comment – Stocks extend gains as a 50bps Fed cut becomes more likely

Stocks in the green as a 50bps Fed rate cut is expected US retail sales today could prolong dollar’s weakness Loonie could suffer from another weak CPI report Gold remains bid as US yields continue to drop 50bps Fed rate cut is now the main scenario Markets continue to dance to the tune of Wednesday’s Fed meeting. Chances of a 50bps rate cut got a strong boost yesterday with the market currently pricing in a 67% probability that history will repeat itself and the Fed wi
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XM市场研究 - 4天前

Daily Comment – Slow start to the week ahead of the Fed meeting 

Mixed movements in FX but the yen remains on the front foot Stocks recorded their best weekly performance of 2024 Another assassination attempt against Trump Bitcoin suffers while gold reaches a new all-time high Stocks are in anticipation mode A very important week has commenced with the US equity markets digesting last week’s impressive performance.
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XM市场研究 - 4天前Bullish

Technical Analysis – Gold flies to fresh all-time high near 2,600

Gold posts bullish days Prices find support at 20-day SMA MACD and RSI in positive areas Gold prices are skyrocketing to another fresh all-time high today around 2,589.40 with the next major obstacle coming from the 2,600 round number. The price has recorded an aggressive buying interest over the last couple of days after the strong bounce off the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) at 2,510. Technically, the MACD oscillator is extending its upside move above its trigger and zero l
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XM市场研究 - 1周前

Daily Comment – Dollar sinks, gold surges as 50bps Fed cut back in the picture

Soft US PPI and reports of Fed dilemma revive bets of 50bps cut Dollar plunges as yields fall, pushing gold to new all-time high Euro climbs as ECB trims rates but does not signal October cut Fed rate cut expectations swing wildly Expectations of a 50-basis-point rate cut by the Fed in September had all been priced out by investors.
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XM市场研究 - 1周前

Quick Brief – Gold hits new record as rate cut fever takes hold

Gold surges after ECB rate cut and soft US PPI Sets new record as Fed poised to join rate-cut club Gold has finally smashed its previous all-time high of $2,531.61/oz to surpass the $2,550 mark. The precious metal had been poking and prodding at the $2,530 region since late August only to be held back by not-so-terrible US data. Nothing’s changed when it comes to the US economy to propel gold higher by more than 1.50% today.
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XM市场研究 - 1周前

Midweek Technical Look – EURJPY, USDCHF, Gold

EURJPY sends encouraging signals; confirmation awaited above 156.74 USDCHF builds a floor near 8-month low; bulls seek more power above 0.8540 Gold in a wait-and-see mode within the 2,500 area as risks remain
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XM市场研究 - 1周前

Daily Comment – Equities are directionless ahead of US inflation report

Mixed movements in equities as markets prepare for CPI Strong possibility for a downside surprise in inflation  US presidential debate dominates headlines Bitcoin suffers while gold and yen rally Stocks are in anticipation mode US equity indices were mixed yesterday with the Nasdaq 100 index recording another green day and the Dow Jones mimicking the European stock indices’ negative performance.
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XM市场研究 - 1周前Bullish

Technical Analysis – Gold shifts attention to uncharted territory

Gold looks for a bullish breakout above rectangle Bullish sentiment dominates; stability cannot be ruled out US CPI inflation figures due for release at 12:30 GMT   Gold rapidly approached the upper band of its three-week-old tight range at 2,530, increasing the possibility of entering unexplored territory. The ball is still on the bulls’ court according to the technical indicators in the four-hour chart. The RSI is making a new higher high above its 50 neutral mark and the
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XM市场研究 - 1周前

Equities volatility jumps as sentiment turns negative – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility remains low as market digests US data prints Volatility in commodities remains low apart from oil Stock indices and bitcoin experience much higher volatility Volatility in the main FX pairs, including euro/dollar, has eased in the past few days as the market is digesting last week’s US labour market data and preparing for Wednesday’s CPI report, which could play a role in determining the size of the imminent Fed rate cut.
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XM市场研究 - 1周前

Daily Comment – Equities rebound but face danger from US presidential debate  

Equities turn positive, but sentiment is fragile US presidential debate today could prove market moving UK labour market data supports the pound Bitcoin gains as risk sentiment improves, gold is range-bound Stocks breathe better US equity markets recorded gains in yesterday’s session, with the Nasdaq 100 index leading the rally, and euro/dollar dropped close to 1.1030 despite the fact that most participants remain uncertain about next week’s Fed rate cut size and confus
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XM市场研究 - 2周前Neutral

Technical Analysis – Gold weakness might have legs

Gold is trading lower today, but close to recent highs It failed to benefit from Friday’s negative stock market reaction Momentum indicators remain mixed Gold is trading lower again today, recording its second consecutive red candle, but remaining a tad below its recent all-time high of $2,532. Last Friday’s non-farm payrolls figure resulted in an acute market reaction with the S&P 500 index recording its worst weekly performance since 2023, but gold failed to benefit.
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XM市场研究 - 2周前

Daily Comment – Investors lock gaze on NFP data

Dollar slides as data offer little respite to concerned investors NFP to accelerate somewhat, but PMI surveys pose downside risks S&P 500 and Dow Jones end in red ahead of the job numbers Gold rebounds, approaches record high; oil stabilizes Data fail to alleviate investors’ worries The dollar traded lower against all of its major counterparts on Thursday as the boost received by the better-than-expected initial jobless claims and the improving ISM non-manufacturing PMI
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XM市场研究 - 2周前

Cryptos’ short-term outlook rests on the Fed – Crypto News

Cryptos trade lower due to overall negative market sentiment Spot ETFs outflow confirm investors’ lower appetite Cryptos desperately looking for new bullish catalysts Ethereum a tad above some key support levels Cryptocurrencies remain under pressure The cryptocurrency world remains under severe pressure with bitcoin repeatedly failing to climb above the $60k area.
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XM市场研究 - 2周前

Stocks could suffer after the September Fed rate cut

US labour market data to determine the size of the first Fed rate cut History points to an increased possibility of a 50bps move Analysis reveals sizeable equities’ weakness after the initial cut Following Fed Chairman Powell's appearance at the Jackson Hole Symposium and this indirect announcement of the much-discussed Fed rate cut, the market is counting down to the September 18 meeting.
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