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US100Cash

XM市场研究

XM市场研究 - 2天前Neutral

Technical Analysis – US 100 index in anticipation mode ahead of the Fed

US 100 index trades sideways ahead of the Fed meeting It battles with the July 11, 2024 descending trendline Momentum indicators are tentatively bullish The US 100 cash index is moving sideways today, continuing its low volatility sessions, as market participants are staying on the sidelines ahead of the crucial Fed meeting. The first Fed rate cut since March 2020 will most likely be announced later today with speculation being rife about a 50bps rate cut, with arguable impact on s
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XM市场研究 - 3天前

Volatility eases a bit ahead of the key Fed meeting – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility remains low as dollar weakness lingers Volatility in commodities stays elevated led by silver Stock indices and bitcoin experience lower volatility Euro/dollar volatility remains low as the market is preparing for the key Fed meeting on Wednesday that could deliver a previously unexpected 50bps rate cut. Amidst these conditions, yen pairs are experiencing the highest volatility of the past month as the yen continues to outperform its main counterparties on
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XM市场研究 - 4天前

Daily Comment – Slow start to the week ahead of the Fed meeting 

Mixed movements in FX but the yen remains on the front foot Stocks recorded their best weekly performance of 2024 Another assassination attempt against Trump Bitcoin suffers while gold reaches a new all-time high Stocks are in anticipation mode A very important week has commenced with the US equity markets digesting last week’s impressive performance.
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XM市场研究 - 1周前

Daily Comment – Equities are directionless ahead of US inflation report

Mixed movements in equities as markets prepare for CPI Strong possibility for a downside surprise in inflation  US presidential debate dominates headlines Bitcoin suffers while gold and yen rally Stocks are in anticipation mode US equity indices were mixed yesterday with the Nasdaq 100 index recording another green day and the Dow Jones mimicking the European stock indices’ negative performance.
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XM市场研究 - 1周前

Equities volatility jumps as sentiment turns negative – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility remains low as market digests US data prints Volatility in commodities remains low apart from oil Stock indices and bitcoin experience much higher volatility Volatility in the main FX pairs, including euro/dollar, has eased in the past few days as the market is digesting last week’s US labour market data and preparing for Wednesday’s CPI report, which could play a role in determining the size of the imminent Fed rate cut.
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XM市场研究 - 1周前

Daily Comment – Equities rebound but face danger from US presidential debate  

Equities turn positive, but sentiment is fragile US presidential debate today could prove market moving UK labour market data supports the pound Bitcoin gains as risk sentiment improves, gold is range-bound Stocks breathe better US equity markets recorded gains in yesterday’s session, with the Nasdaq 100 index leading the rally, and euro/dollar dropped close to 1.1030 despite the fact that most participants remain uncertain about next week’s Fed rate cut size and confus
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XM市场研究 - 2周前

Daily Comment – Investors lock gaze on NFP data

Dollar slides as data offer little respite to concerned investors NFP to accelerate somewhat, but PMI surveys pose downside risks S&P 500 and Dow Jones end in red ahead of the job numbers Gold rebounds, approaches record high; oil stabilizes Data fail to alleviate investors’ worries The dollar traded lower against all of its major counterparts on Thursday as the boost received by the better-than-expected initial jobless claims and the improving ISM non-manufacturing PMI
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XM市场研究 - 2周前

Daily Comment – Equities weakness lingers as focus remains on US data

Equities remain on the back foot as key US data on the menu today ADP, jobless claims and ISM Services could prove market moving Dollar’s mixed performance continues, yen benefits OPEC+ production rumours fail to push oil prices higher US data releases in the spotlight Equity markets continue to exhibit a rather unexpected fragility as second tier data like Wednesday’s JOLTs job openings resulted in another negative session in most stock indices around the globe.
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XM市场研究 - 2周前

Daily Comment – Wall Street tumbles amid September blues

Yen and franc gain, aussie the main loser Wall Street tumbles on risk-off September start ISM mfg. PMI rekindles economic concerns Oil collapses on prospect of Libyan accord Risk aversion prevails The US dollar outperformed most of its major counterparts on Tuesday, losing ground only versus the traditional safe havens such as the yen and the franc.
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XM市场研究 - 2周前Neutral

Technical Analysis – US 100 index under pressure

US 100 index drops, reversing the August rally Nvidia woes keep sentiment negative Momentum indicators are turning bearish The US 100 cash index is in the red again today, trading back below the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) and having surrendered half of its August gains. Nvidia’s underperformance is keeping the index under pressure with the market preparing for this week's key US labour market data releases and counting down to the September 18 Fed meeting.
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XM市场研究 - 3周前

Daily Comment – Dollar gains amid adjusted Fed rate cut bets

PCE inflation holds steady, 50bps cut less likely Euro slips as Eurozone inflation drops to lowest in three years Wall Street gains on soft-landing hopes Traders scale back Fed rate cut bets as NFP week begins The US dollar finished last week on a strong footing, gaining against all its major counter parts on Friday, with market participants somewhat scaling back their Fed rate cut bets.
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XM市场研究 - 4周前Neutral

Technical Analysis – US 100 index sits at key level

US 100 index exhibits bearish tendencies but stabilizes near 50-SMA Technical risk is two-sided as Powell prepares for his Jackson hole speech( 14:00 GMT) Bulls hope for a close above 19,880; bears need a drop below 19,350   The US 100 stock index came under pressure on Thursday after a downward revision in the US non-farm payrolls revived fears of a slowing US economy.
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XM市场研究 - 4周前

Volatility ebbs as recession fears evaporate – Volatility Watch

Besides EUR/USD, FX volatility subsides as markets digest rate path repricing Volatility in precious metals is still high, but oil enters calmer waters Stock indices and Bitcoin volatility at their bottom of their 30-day range Recession concerns from a weaker-than-expected July NFP report have been fading, though they led to notable adjustments in expectations about major central banks' interest rate paths. This week, investors are focused on Jerome Powell's Jackson H
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XM市场研究 - 4周前

Market Comment – Dollar under pressure ahead of Jackson Hole Symposium

Stocks in the green again as investors await the Jackson Hole gathering Economists look for strong Fed easing in 2024 despite recession talk dissipating Dollar remains on the back foot against most currencies Aussie fails to benefit from hawkish minutes; loonie could suffer from weak CPI Stocks still in the green Stocks continue to enjoy green sessions as the market is counting down to Friday’s Jackson Hole speech by Fed Chairman Powell.
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XM市场研究 - 1个月前

Market Comment – Euro/dollar in critical area as the Jackson Hole Symposium nears

Stocks record strong weekly gains as the first Fed rate cut gets closer Markets are gradually preparing for the Jackson Hole gathering Euro/dollar trades within a critical resistance area Gold in demand as geopolitics generate headlines Stocks rally, enjoy the mixed US data Markets continue to recover after the recent rout, with US equities finishing last week with strong gains.
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XM市场研究 - 1个月前

Was the recent stock market slump an overreaction? – Stock Markets

US indices took a hit after a soft NFP report sparked recessions fears But risk sentiment rebounded, and investors eagerly bought the dip What events may disrupt the market's supposed immunity to downside risks?   V-shaped recovery July’s softer-than-expected NFP report sent shockwaves across all asset classes as fears that the US economy is on the brink of a recession emerged.
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XM市场研究 - 1个月前

Market anxiety fades but volatility remains high – Volatility Watch

FX volatility smoothens a little bit as markets digest rate path repricing Volatility in commodities still high amid resurgence of geopolitical tensions Stock indices and Bitcoin still volatile while traders unwind bearish bets  Recession concerns from a weaker-than-expected NFP report two weeks ago have been fading, though they led to notable adjustments in expectations about major central banks' interest rate paths.
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XM市场研究 - 1个月前

Market Comment – Has the recent market angst fizzled out?

Improved market sentiment, Nasdaq 100 records weekly increase Yen holds recent strong gains as euro/dollar trades sideways today Rich data calendar this week, US CPI to dictate Fedspeak Gold and oil rally as Iran is expected to attack Israel Mood improves, yen maintains gains Despite the massively negative market sentiment at the beginning of last week, most stock indices managed to cover their weekly losses with the Nasdaq 100 actually closing in the green on a weekly basis
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XM市场研究 - 1个月前

Technical Analysis – US 100 index shifts to the sidelines

US 100 index opens the day in neutral mood   Some recovery likely but outlook could stay cloudy below 18,822 Earnings season continues with Disney’s results on August 7   The US 100 stock index had a boring start to Tuesday’s session, remaining neutral around Monday’s closing price and the 18,100 level. Previously, the price staged a nice rebound near the 2023-2024 support trendline and bounced back above its 200-day SMA, increasing optimism that the bulls could soon take o
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XM市场研究 - 2个月前

Volatility remains elevated across the board – Volatility Watch

Yen crosses are very volatile after BoJ hike aids yen's recovery Volatility in commodity sphere jumps amid geopolitical flare ups Global stock indices in turbulent waters but for different reasons   Volatility in yen crosses has increased considerably as the latest interest rate hike by the BoJ has added more fuel to the yen’s recovery from multi-year lows against major peers.
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