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Market Comment – Dollar eases from highs as intervention warning props up yen

Intervention threat spurs mild rebound in yen after top currency official’s warning Yuan also rebounds, triggering broader retreat in US dollar Stock market rally cools amid quieter week before Easter break, core PCE eyed Yen firmer after fresh verbal intervention The Japanese yen edged higher on Monday, starting the holiday-shortened week on a steadier note, following a 3.5% slide on the back of the Bank of Japan’s dovish rate hike last week.
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Market Comment – Stocks at fresh records even as dollar bounces back

Wall Street leads rally in equity markets, fuelled by rate cut optimism But US dollar stages surprise rebound amid US exceptionalism Pound slides on BoE’s dovish tilt, yen steadies, PBOC loosens grip on yuan Equities buoyed as easing expectations gather pace Shares on Wall Street are headed for strong weekly gains following the conclusion of the March central bank meetings that cemented rate cut expectations for 2024. After the European Central Bank paved the way for lower ra
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Market Comment – Dollar's retreat propels S&P 500 to new record

Dollar extends retreat as traders await next catalyst Yen slides as BoJ signals no rush to raise interest rates Chinese markets supported by more stabilizing efforts Wall Street rallies, gold holds steady, oil gains Dollar weakens despite Collins pushing back on rate cut bets The US dollar continued pulling back against most of its major peers on Wednesday, gaining only against the yen and the franc.
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How much trouble is China’s economy in and is there a risk for global contagion?

China has long been the world’s growth engine, but that status is under threat as its economic recovery has hit a major stumbling block and the high-growth era seems to be well and truly over. Exports are falling, consumers aren’t spending much, bank lending is slowing and the crisis in the property sector only seems to be deepening. Can the Chinese government navigate its way out of this mess, which is partly its own doing, or is there more pain to come?
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Market Comment – Dollar trades mixed, awaiting Powell’s speech; Euro slides on PMIs

Dollar trades mixed as Jackson Hole draws closer Fed’s Barkin sees reacceleration scenario Euro falls on PMIs, UK PMIs next Wall Street turns spotlight to Nvidia earnings Fed’s Barkin adds to the likelihood of more Fed hikes The US dollar traded mixed against the other major currencies on Tuesday as traders may be reluctant to assume large positions ahead of the Jackson Hole economic symposium and Fed Chair Powell’s speech on Friday.
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Market Comment – Dollar traders turn cautious ahead of Jackson Hole; PBOC bolsters yuan

Dollar pulls back on cautious trading ahead of Jackson Hole 10-year Treasury yields extend rally to levels last seen in 2007 China’s central bank sets yuan mid-point higher than expected Nvidia lifts both Nasdaq and S&P 500 ahead of its earnings Dollar slides but yields keep surging; Jackson Hole awaited The US dollar traded lower against most of the other major currencies on Monday and remained on the back foot today.
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Market Comment – Global stock rout deepens amid China gloom, jump in yields

Stocks extend slump as China fears intensify, yields scale fresh highs Dollar on a winning streak as Wall Street heads for third weekly loss Markets eye more China rate cuts and Jackson Hole for Fed clues More pain for risk assets The rout in global stock markets shows no signs of ending on Friday even as the surge in bond yields has eased off a little.
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Market Comment – China cuts rates but stocks mixed, strong GDP fails to lift the yen

China unexpectedly cuts key lending rate as weak data keeps pouring in, yuan skids Japanese growth surges in Q2 but yen hits fresh low, sparking intervention fears US retail sales eyed as tech stocks rally despite soaring yields Yuan slumps after rate cut as China concerns mount China’s central bank announced a surprise rate cut on Tuesday, lowering its one-year medium-term lending facility by 15 basis points to 2.50%.
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Daily Market Comment – Chinese yuan hits record low, earnings season fires up

China’s offshore yuan slides to new lows amid capital exodus  Dollar retreats after soft business surveys, antipodeans struggle Stock markets run into resistance ahead of big tech earnings Escaping China Investor concerns around China’s economic trajectory reached a crescendo this week, hammering the offshore yuan down to new record lows as capital outflows escalated.

Daily Market Comment – Euro perks up, fends off steadier dollar amid growing ECB rate hike talk

Euro extends gains as ECB policymakers increasingly in favour of raising rates soon Dollar mixed despite higher Treasury yields; yen settles around 128 per dollar US and European stock futures edge up after Tesla earnings beat, China slips ECB rate hike chatter buoys euro The euro is gaining traction on Thursday, extending this week’s rebound to flirt with the $1.09 level, as investors ratchet up their bets that the European Central Bank is getting closer to hiking rates soon.

Inflation is driving up rate hike bets globally, so why does the dollar remain king?

It is now universally accepted that the pandemic-induced surge in inflation is no longer looking very transitory and central banks around the world are starting to hit the panic button. The US Federal Reserve is not only talking about rate hikes but wants to begin quantitative tightening soon. The Bank of England and Reserve Bank of New Zealand have already lifted rates at least once.

Daily Market Comment – Stocks soar as markets look past Omicron; BoC meeting eyed

Optimism prevails as investors see glass half full over Omicron threat Asia lifted by Wall Street jump but futures point to some easing in rally FX markets mostly steady, loonie at 2-week high ahead of BoC decision Fading Omicron risks boost sentiment Pre-Christmas cheer came early for equity markets as investors celebrated the growing view that the newly discovered Omicron variant is not more dangerous than the Delta strain.

Daily Market Comment – Higher yields cap Wall Street gains but lift dollar, pound catches a bid

Inflation worries lift Treasury yields, holding back stocks; retailer earnings in focus Little to report from Biden-Xi summit but easing tensions boost yuan Euro and pound pulled in opposite directions by policymakers, dollar holds firm It’s still all about inflation Uncertainty about the persistence of higher inflation continues to dog investor sentiment amid ongoing speculation about the timing of interest rate hikes by the world’s major central banks.

What does China’s GDP mean for the aussie? - Forex News Preview

Economic growth numbers out of China will hit the markets at 02:00 GMT Thursday. The world’s second-largest economy seems to be losing momentum and Chinese authorities have responded by adding more liquidity to the financial system, which is a risky move. Besides the yuan, the upcoming data could also impact stock markets and the Australian dollar.  Gamble The Chinese economy seems to be losing steam.

Week Ahead – Fed meets as virus storm worsens; US and Eurozone set for historic GDP collapse

As US politicians squabble over the next fiscal stimulus bill and the country’s virus death toll ticks up again, markets may lean on the Federal Reserve next week for a quick fix. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting will undoubtedly be the most eagerly awaited event of the week. But second quarter GDP prints out of the United States and the euro area will not be far behind as the full extent of the economic shock from COVID-19 is laid bare.

Technical Analysis – USDCNH plunges to new 4-month low

USDCNH plummeted to a fresh four-month low of 6.9947 earlier today after the strong bearish rally on Monday. The market is in the process to cover some of the losses, approaching the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level of the up leg from 6.8433 to 7.1944 at 7.0201 again. The momentum indicators are contradicting each other as the RSI is rebounding on the oversold region, while the MACD is declining beneath its trigger line in the near term.

Daily Market Comment – Hong Kong tensions sink yuan but stocks yet to flinch

Hong Kong’s special status with US under threat after Pompeo warning Yuan and Hong Kong shares under pressure but optimism prevails elsewhere Euro surges after European Commission proposes €750 billion rescue fund US and China heading for another clash Hong Kong looks set to lose the special status it enjoys with the United States on a range of areas, including trade, after US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said the Trump administration no longer considers it to be autonomous from

Chinese exports probably plunged in February on virus shutdowns - Forex News Preview

China will report trade numbers for February on Saturday – the first since authorities imposed lockdowns on many cities – and so the data will be seen as an important barometer to how badly business activity was impacted by the outbreak of the coronavirus. Any indication that the factory shutdowns had a far more devastating effect on the economy than is currently being predicted is likely to spark more panic selling of risk assets when markets open on Monday.

Technical Analysis – USDCNH tumbles towards 6-week low with strong momentum

USDCNH is plunging for the ninth consecutive day after the pullback on the 7.0561 resistance, breaching the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of 6.9624 of the down leg from 7.1944 to 6.8433 today.  The price is also registering a six-week low of 6.9159 within the Ichimoku cloud. Technical indicators are moving south with the RSI approaching its 30 oversold mark and the MACD dropping below its zero level, while the red Tenkan-sen is preparing to cross below the blue Kijun-sen l

Daily Market Comment – Contagion fears intensify; stocks tumble, gold surges, dollar rebounds

Jump in number of infections outside China sends panic across financial markets Stocks take a large hit; gold scales fresh 7-year high amid flight to safety Dollar’s gains more restrained as Fed rate cut bets rise after weak US data Concerns mount about virus impact after spike in global cases The number of confirmed coronavirus cases outside of China continued to multiply over the weekend, sending shivers across financial markets as investors were forced to reassess their view that



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