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市场新闻

Reuters - 1周前

FX options wrap - FX risks fade amid central bank cuts

BUZZ-FX options wrap - FX risks fade amid central bank cuts G10 FX option implied volatility has fallen quite sharply since the U.S. NFP and CPI data removed much of the uncertainty about the U.S. rate path, which in turn, has aided a broader risk recovery. Benchmark 1-month expiry implied volatility consequently trades new post data lows . However, o ne-week expiry options now include the U.S.
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Reuters - 1周前

US dollar mixed after inflation report supports smaller Fed rate cut

FOREX-US dollar mixed after inflation report supports smaller Fed rate cut US core inflation rises 0.3% in August US dollar hits three-week high versus Swiss franc Dollar falls to lowest level since late December Fed funds futures lower odds of 50-basis-point cut this month Updates as of 3:27 p.m. ET/1927 GMT By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss and Chibuike Oguh NEW YORK, Sept 11 (Reuters) - The U.S.
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Reuters - 1周前

FX options wrap - ECB, EUR direction, 13 billion, JPY 140, value

BUZZ-FX options wrap - ECB, EUR direction, 13 billion, JPY 140, value Initially tame U.S. CPI FX volatility risk premium was marginally higher before Wednesday's slightly softer than expected data, which makes a 25bpts U.S. rate cut more likely than 50bps next week. The pre data premium rise in USD/JPY came after more JPY strength took the pair closer to 140.00 in Asia , with other dates higher, too.
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Reuters - 1周前

The EUR/USD directional bias according to FX options

BUZZ-COMMENT- The EUR/USD directional bias according to FX options Sept 11 (Reuters) - FX options thrive on FX volatility and rapid directional moves and, because they are forward looking, their price action can offer clues for the near-term outlook. Implied volatility serves as a proxy for the unknown but crucial element in option premiums: realized FX volatility.
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Reuters - 1周前

These options show U.S. CPI and ECB risk to EUR/USD

BUZZ-COMMENT-These options show U.S. CPI and ECB risk to EUR/USD Sept 11 (Reuters) - Implied volatility gauges the unknown, yet key parameter of an FX option premium - actual/realised FX volatility, so changes after overnight/next day expiry included Wednesday's U.S. CPI data and Thursday's European Central Bank policy decisions can offer clues about the expected FX reaction.
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Reuters - 1周前

FX options wrap - Looming event risks and FX expectations

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Looming event risks and FX expectations Sept 10 (Reuters) - Implied volatility has been on the back foot as FX volatility risk premiums were priced out in the wake of Friday's mixed U.S. jobs data, which left FX in familiar ranges. However, Wednesday's U.S. CPI data and a host of major G10 central bank policy announcements are limiting potentially deeper declines .
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Reuters - 2周前

FX options wrap - FX outlook shifts after U.S. jobs

BUZZ-FX options wrap - FX outlook shifts after U.S. jobs There has been a mild shift in sentiment since Friday's mixed U.S. jobs data lowered the probability of a 50bps U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut on Sept 18. Demand and premium for FX options to protect against near-term FX volatility and USD weakness was strong ahead of Friday's mixed U.S. jobs data, but it has been quick to revert lower since, despite the impending U.S.
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Reuters - 2周前

EUR/USD topside momentum fades, according to FX options

BUZZ-COMMENT-EUR/USD topside momentum fades, according to FX options Sept 9 (Reuters) - Before Friday's U.S. jobs data, price action in FX options was clearly concerned about EUR/USD breaking/extending the recent 14-month high at 1.1201 , but not any more. Option trade flows had seen strong demand and premium gains for sub 1-month expiry 1.1200-1.1300 strikes, which allow holders to buy EUR/USD at those levels if better than the spot price at expiry.
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Reuters - 2周前

Standout FX option strike expiries this week

BUZZ-COMMENT-Standout FX option strike expiries this week Sept 9 (Reuters) - The cash hedging of soon-to-expire FX option strikes can have a magnetic effect on FX price action, adding to nearby support/resistance. There are some huge strikes expiring on Monday and for the week ahead. The closest and largest EUR/USD strikes expiring on Monday are at 1.1050 on 2.4 billion euros and 1.1100 on 1.3 billion euros.
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Reuters - 2周前

Dollar falls after US payrolls data

FOREX-Dollar falls after US payrolls data NEW YORK, Sept 6 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar fell against major currencies on Friday, after data showed U.S. employment increased less than expected in August, keeping the Fed on track to cut interest rates later this month. The euro EUR=EBS was 0.3 % higher against the dollar at $1.1144 . Against the yen JPY= , the dollar was 0.7% lower at 142.4 yen.
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Reuters - 2周前

Stand-out FX option strike expiries next week

BUZZ-COMMENT-Stand-out FX option strike expiries next week Sept 6 (Reuters) - The cash hedging of soon-to-expire FX option strikes can have a magnetic effect on FX price action, adding to nearby support/resistance. There are plenty for the week ahead if the anticipated FX volatility from Friday's U.S. jobs data doesn't drive FX from current ranges.
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Reuters - 2周前

EUR/CHF might collapse

BUZZ-COMMENT -EUR/CHF might collapse Sept 6 (Reuters) - If the Swiss national Bank continues to unwind its massive holdings of foreign currencies then EUR/CHF might collapse. Without intervention to support the pair, which is not possible if Swiss reserves are to be further reduced, then there is a strong chance that EUR/CHF - which is entrenched in a downtrend that has endured since the global financial crisis in 2008 - drops further.
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Reuters - 2周前

SNB action would speak louder than words for Swiss franc

BUZZ-COMMENT-SNB action would speak louder than words for Swiss franc Sept 6 (Reuters) - The Swiss National Bank might have to deliver an aggressive interest rate cut this month if it wants to lessen the risk of the safe-haven franc rising to new multi-year highs versus the euro and the dollar. The franc rose to a one-month high against the euro on Friday, and climbed to threaten last week's 2024 peak against the dollar - a week after outgoing SNB Chairman Thomas Jordan said CHF strength was mak
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Reuters - 2周前

FX options wrap - USD puts and major event risks drive market

BUZZ-FX options wrap - USD puts and major event risks drive market The USD has been under renewed pressure since Wednesday's U.S. jolts data and the market is on high alert for Friday's U.S. jobs data and its potential to sway the U.S. Fed into a 50bps cut on Sept. 18. Overnight expiry now encompasses Friday's jobs report, and the sharp rise in related implied volatility highlights the largest realised volatility risk premium for any jobs data release this year .
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Reuters - 2周前

Here's why SocGen think USD/CHF topside options are cheap

RPT-BUZZ-COMMENT-Here's why SocGen think USD/CHF topside options are cheap Repeats with no changes Sept 4 (Reuters) - Societe Generale advocates an option trade that would benefit from USD/CHF gains, with their rationale being that CHF does not reflect dovish SNB pricing. The biggest central bank repricing over the last month was by Switzerland, with the Swiss interest rate for December seen 25bps lower than it was a month ago - a bigger dovish repricing th an for U.S.
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Reuters - 2周前

FX options wrap - JPY surge, NFP risk, long gamma, CHF puts

BUZZ-FX options wrap - JPY surge, NFP risk, long gamma, CHF puts Risk aversion and JPY gains are driving JPY related implied volatility and its JPY call over put skew higher. USD/JPY 1-month expiry implied volatility from 11.9 to 12.9 this week and 1-month 25 delta risk reversals regaining 2.0 from 1.6 vol premium for downside strikes. JPY call buying has dominated flows, with 140.00 being a popular strike .
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Reuters - 2周前

Here's why SocGen think USD/CHF topside options are cheap

BUZZ-COMMENT-Here's why SocGen think USD/CHF topside options are cheap Sept 4 (Reuters) - Societe Generale advocates an option trade that would benefit from USD/CHF gains, with their rationale being that CHF does not reflect dovish SNB pricing. The biggest central bank repricing over the last month was by Switzerland, with the Swiss interest rate for December seen 25bps lower than it was a month ago - a bigger dovish repricing th an for U.S.
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Reuters - 2周前

Long gamma helps to contain EUR/USD pre NFP

BUZZ-COMMENT-Long gamma helps to contain EUR/USD pre NFP Sept 4 (Reuters) - The EUR/USD options market is said be long gamma, which can help to explain why EUR/USD spot is trading a very limited range in the mid 1.10's before Friday's key U.S. non-farm payrolls data. Long gamma can be derived from an abundance of vanilla option positions, typically with shorter dated expiries and strikes close to the current spot rate.
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Reuters - 2周前

FX options wrap - USD puts, NFP risk, JPY 140, huge euro

BUZZ-FX options wrap - USD puts, NFP risk, JPY 140, huge euro Sept 3 (Reuters) - Broader FX option implied volatility setbacks remain limited ahead of Friday's U.S. jobs data and the strong risk premium for Friday expiries shows a market prepared for FX realised volatility to increase . Shorter dated expiry USD puts have been more sought and demand more premium than USD calls against many currencies.
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Reuters - 2周前

Bold SNB cut would be best for Swiss franc bears

BUZZ-COMMENT-Bold SNB cut would be best for Swiss franc bears Sept 3 (Reuters) - Franc bears hope that Switzerland's softer than expected August CPI print spurs the Swiss National Bank to deliver a larger than predicted 50 basis point rate cut later this month, as this might deflate the CHF. Swiss CPI fell to 1.1% YY in August, from 1.3% in July. A more modest decline to 1.2% had been the consensus forecast.
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